Figured I’d throw together a predictions post of how I think the MLB season will go down, so that in October we can either a) Mock how bad these look or b) Marvel at how accurate they are. I think “a” is faaaaaar more likely than b :).
Anyway, here we go:
AL East:
Red Sox
Blue Jays
Yankees
Orioles
Rays
Comments – I think the Red Sox are still the team to beat in the division despite David Prices’ health issues. The Jays need their starters to be good and healthy again this year to finish 2nd and contend for the wild card.
AL Central:
Indians
Tigers
Royals
Twins
White Sox
Comments – Indians should walk all over this division. The Tigers will make some noise but the other 3 teams are on the outside looking in.
AL West:
Astros
Mariners
Rangers
Angels
Athletics
Comments – This division will be close I think. The Mariners are going all in on pitching and defense (especially in the OF) so it’ll be interesting to see how that plays out.
Wildcards – Jays and Mariners
Non-playoff team that could surprise and make the playoffs – Yankees (they have the young talent, their rotation will make or break the season for them)
NL East
Nationals
Mets
Braves
Marlins
Phillies
Comments – Nationals should win the division though the Mets could rival them if their young SP stay healthy.
NL Central
Cubs
Cardinals
Pirates
Brewers
Reds
Comments – Cubs should walk away with this one though the Cards always seem to find a way to win.
NL West
Dodgers
Giants
Diamondbacks
Rockies
Padres
Comments – I thought the Rockies were a bit of a sleeper team this year until recent injuries to Desmond, Bettis and to a lesser extent Murphy. The Dodgers are stacked and should hold off the Giants.
Wildcards – Mets and Cardinals
Non playoff team that could surprise and make the playoffs – Diamondbacks (they had a lot of bad/injured seasons from key players last year; simple regression alone should improve them by a lot of wins not to mention the possibility of some of their young guys taking steps forward).
AL Champ – Boston
NL Champ – I’ll go with a surprise pick and say Mets on the strength of their SP
World Series Champ – Boston (sadly).
Awards:
AL MVP – Mookie Betts (tough to bet against Trout, but Betts is good and will be on a playoff team again)
Sleeper – Josh Donaldson (if the Jays make the WC he’ll likely be the main reason)
Dark Horse – Carlos Correa
NL MVP – Kris Bryant just edging out Bryce Harper
Sleeper – Yoenis Cespedes
Dark Horse – Yasiel Puig (make or break year for him I think; the talent is there)
AL Cy Young – Corey Kluber
Sleeper – Yu Darvish (health is the only question mark)
Dark Horse – Marcus Stroman (Jays fan here, but he legit made some changes in the 2nd half to his arsenal that I’m thinking could carry over into him having a big year)
NL Cy Young – Clayton Kershaw (never bet against him if healthy)
Sleeper – Noah Syndergaard
Dark Horse – Stephen Strasburg (only a darkhorse in the sense of health risks)
AL ROY – Andrew Benintendi
NL ROY – Dansby Swanson
Feel free to share your predictions/comments on my predictions in the comments!
AL East:
TOR, TB, BOS, NYY, BAL
Powered by a 43 homer season by Bautista and an epic tank by Boston, the Jays take the East.
AL Central:
CLE, DET, MIN, KC, CWS
AL West:
HOU, SEA, TEX, CAL, OAK
Wildcard:
DET, TB
NL East:
NYM, WAS, ATL, MIA, PHI
NL Central:
CHC, PIT, STL, MIL, CIN
NL West:
LAD, SF, COL, ARI, SD
Wildcard:
SF, COL
AL Champs: TOR
NL Champs: NYM
World Series: TOR
AL MVP: Trout
NL MVP: Arenado
AL CY: Stroman
NL CY: Kershaw
AL Rookie: De Leon
NL: Rookie: Meadows
Cheers!
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